Surveys

I remember during the elections of last summer, several companies were hired to conduct surveys of the various regions, in order to provide a baseline for who would get what number of votes, etc. Suprisingly, even though people seem to think that surveys in Lebanon will always be faulty, these surveys were very close to the mark. There was one case where it did differ, and that was due to a last-minute incident between Najah Wakim and a percentage of Shiite voters in Beirut.

There have been recent surveys as well concerning the coming elections. Two of them were published in the past three days. Today's survey studied how the Christian public viewed the recent Aoun-Nasrallah meeting. 77.2% believed that the meeting was for the benefit of the country.

The other survey was specific to the Baabda - Aley elections. 68% of Christians, 92% of Shiite, 35% of Druze are with Michel Aoun's candidate. This corresponds to around 61 thousand votes, as opposed to between 48 to 52 thousand votes for the opponent.

posted by Lazarus, 10:14 AM