it will not lead to a civil war.

this assassination will not cause a civil war. at least i hope not.

that is not to say there won't be clashes (like the ones over the past year, and some of which have already started to happen between the kataeb and the ssnp) and rabid tension.

the tipping point is one step closer. eventually, the situation will reach a point when the feudal warlords will not be able to reign in their supporters.

how long it takes to get there, if we do get there, is anyone's guess ...

posted by Lazarus, 11:31 AM